Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 521 filings here across 18 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.