Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,438 of 84,120 nationally
Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman
Tract 12103024702 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,318 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Duval Park in Lealman anchors census tract 12103024702, which lands at 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,314 a month against an average household income of $47,022 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$47,022
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lealman and the region
Centroid at 27.8148, -82.6949 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duval Park scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lealman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,314 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lealman
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lealman
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lealman
7.0
How Duval Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 745Total filings over 18 yrs
- 11.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.3%Peak (2015)
- 24Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 215Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duval Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duval Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lealman, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 745 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 11.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.3% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024702?
Census tract 12103024702 in the Duval Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024702?
Median gross rent is $1,314/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024702?
5.6% of residents in tract 12103024702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,318.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 77th, minority 50th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024702 considered part of Duval Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024702 fall within Duval Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.57% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024702 compare to Lealman overall?
Tract 12103024702 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Lealman at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lealman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lealman
Top eight tracts in Lealman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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