Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $47,022, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

The filing record is not thin: 745 evictions over 18 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 27.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.