Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.5% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Polk County average of 45.8%.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,646, 16% below the Poinciana average. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.