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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12097041102 · Osceola, FL · pop 11,054 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana

Census tract 12097041102 covers part of Poinciana, FL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 11,054. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 7% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,892
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$65,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Poinciana
Elevated
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 59 tracts In Osceola
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.2064, -81.5192 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Poinciana
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,928 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poinciana
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poinciana
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poinciana
7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Poinciana risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0411024.0Poincianaparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $65,438 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Against Osceola County at 59.8%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Osceola County average of 4.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,928, close to the Poinciana average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097041102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097041102?

Census tract 12097041102 in Poinciana scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097041102?

Median gross rent is $1,928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097041102?

15.7% of residents in tract 12097041102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097041102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 87th, minority 96th, housing 13th.
Q5

How does tract 12097041102 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12097041102 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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