Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012513 · Polk, FL · pop 4,964 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 12105012513 in Poinciana in Polk County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,964 residents. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 71% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $70,375 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%

Tract context

Occupied units2,998

Renter share1.5%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$70,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.1204, -81.5039 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012513

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012513?

Census tract 12105012513 in Poinciana scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012513?

7.8% of residents in tract 12105012513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,964.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 51th, minority 47th, housing 3th.

How does tract 12105012513 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105012513 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.