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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105014401 · Polk, FL · pop 8,592 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Census tract 12105014401 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,592. Against Polk County at 45.8%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 8% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units3,789
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$64,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 27.9371, -81.6452 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0144014.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,606, 29% above the Winter Haven average.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.

It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $64,375.

25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014401?

Census tract 12105014401 in Winter Haven scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014401?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014401?

12.3% of residents in tract 12105014401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,592.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 49th, housing 59th.
Q5

How does tract 12105014401 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105014401 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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