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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Towles Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000102 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,245 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 12115000102 in the Towles Court area of Sarasota, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,245. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 25% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,020
Renter share69.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$61,130

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Towles Court
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#431 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3363, -82.5319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Towles Court scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,496 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Towles Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Towles Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0001024.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 241Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2002)
  • 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000102
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Towles Court

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.7 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 241 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,496, 11% below the Sarasota average. The worst year on record was 2002, when 4.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $61,130.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000102?

Census tract 12115000102 in the Towles Court neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000102?

Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000102?

15.5% of residents in tract 12115000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 37th, minority 49th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000102 considered part of Towles Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000102 fall within Towles Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 241 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115000102 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000102 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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