Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115000405 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,910 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota
Tract 12115000405 sits in Sarasota, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 2,910. The severe-burden share is 63%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$85,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.3341, -82.4882 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sarasota scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,957 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3
How Sarasota compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sarasota
Cost burden runs 82% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
At $1,957 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Sarasota commands. Court records carry 60 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115000405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000405?
Census tract 12115000405 in Sarasota scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115000405?
Median gross rent is $1,957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000405?
25.6% of residents in tract 12115000405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 85th, minority 50th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.22% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115000405 compare to Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115000405 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12115001000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Rosemary District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Towles Court
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Avondale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000404
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000503
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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