Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota
Tract 12115000502 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12115000502 covers part of the Avondale area of Sarasota, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,342. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$61,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.3225, -82.5209 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2018)
- 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2018, when 7.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000502?
Census tract 12115000502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115000502?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000502?
14.7% of residents in tract 12115000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,342.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 12115000502 considered part of Avondale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115000502 compare to Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115000502 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12115001000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Rosemary District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12115000405
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Towles Court
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Rosemary District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000404
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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