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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,256 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000502 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 12115000502 sits in the Avondale neighborhood of Sarasota, Florida. It has a population of 3,342 and an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). 55% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 33% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,566/month against a median household income of $61,583 — roughly 31% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 18% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$61,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Avondale
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank — 44th percentileBottomTop
#10 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank — 93th percentileBottomTop
#10 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank — 62th percentileBottomTop
#1,960 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3225, -82.5209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 000502Sarasota: 4.84.8Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2018)
  • 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 — 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150005022002: 37 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (6.92/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2018: 38 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Frequently asked

About tract 12115000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000502?

Census tract 12115000502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000502?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000502?

14.7% of residents in tract 12115000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,342.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 78th.

Q5

Is tract 12115000502 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12115000502 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000502 scores 5.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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