Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Rosemary District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota
Tract 12115000200 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,938 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12115000200 in the Rosemary District area of Sarasota, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,720
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$51,304
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.3532, -82.5417 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rosemary District scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3
How Rosemary District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 359Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2002)
- 44Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rosemary District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rosemary District
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,085 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Sarasota commands. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 359 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 15.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000200?
Census tract 12115000200 in the Rosemary District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115000200?
Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000200?
29.4% of residents in tract 12115000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,938.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12115000200 considered part of Rosemary District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000200 fall within Rosemary District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 359 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.10% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115000200 compare to Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115000200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12115000405
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12115001000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Towles Court
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Avondale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000404
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000503
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related