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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115001000 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,548 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

Tract 12115001000 sits in Sarasota, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 3,548. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 17% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,431
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate33.6%
Median income$45,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#360 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3805, -82.5496 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.6% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,394 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0010004.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2015)
  • 40Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001000
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $45,724 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. At $1,394 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Sarasota commands. The filing record is not thin: 278 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 9.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001000?

Census tract 12115001000 in Sarasota scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001000?

Median gross rent is $1,394/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001000?

33.6% of residents in tract 12115001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,548.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 15th, minority 51th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.98% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001000 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115001000 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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