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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Gillespie Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000300 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,090 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12115000300 in the Gillespie Park area of Sarasota, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 25% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$36,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gillespie Park
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#4 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#360 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3606, -82.5342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gillespie Park scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Gillespie Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gillespie Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0003004.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 457Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak (2002)
  • 68Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000300
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gillespie Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gillespie Park

Cost burden runs 65% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Average gross rent is $1,052, 38% below the Sarasota average.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $36,600, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.9% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 457 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 15.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000300?

Census tract 12115000300 in the Gillespie Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000300?

Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000300?

27.9% of residents in tract 12115000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,090.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 95th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000300 considered part of Gillespie Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000300 fall within Gillespie Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 457 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.83% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115000300 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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