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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Rosemary District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000103 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,083 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 12115000103 covers part of the Rosemary District area of Sarasota, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,083. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 37% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,598
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$83,448

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Rosemary District
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3405, -82.5472 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosemary District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,162 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Rosemary District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosemary District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0001034.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosemary District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosemary District

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,162, 28% above the Sarasota average.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 44% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County.

The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.8 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $83,448.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000103?

Census tract 12115000103 in the Rosemary District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000103?

Median gross rent is $2,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000103?

12.4% of residents in tract 12115000103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,083.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 46th, minority 26th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000103 considered part of Rosemary District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000103 fall within Rosemary District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12115000103 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000103 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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