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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115000503 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,186 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

Tract 12115000503 sits in Sarasota, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 3,186. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$56,522

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3234, -82.5055 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,378 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0005034.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 132Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2002)
  • 20Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000503
Filings dropped 51% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,378, 18% below the Sarasota average. The filing record is not thin: 132 evictions over 5 years of observation. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 0.8 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2002 at 9.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $56,522. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000503?

Census tract 12115000503 in Sarasota scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000503?

Median gross rent is $1,378/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000503?

6.2% of residents in tract 12115000503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,186.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 69th, minority 32th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115000503 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000503 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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