Tract 15003002702 ·
Honolulu County, HI · pop 5,029 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 15003002702 sits in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. It is home to 5,029 residents. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 31%Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,103
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$91,992
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
58th percentile
#6 of 13 tracts In Lower Mānoa
Elevated
Within parent city
46th percentile
#72 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Moderate
Within county
70th percentile
#99 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
74th percentile
#113 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3009, -157.8263 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,973 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,973, 8% above the Urban Honolulu average. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $91,992. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002702?
Census tract 15003002702 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002702?
Median gross rent is $1,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002702?
9.3% of residents in tract 15003002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,029.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 77th, minority 85th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002702 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002702 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002702 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002702 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002702 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.