Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031140601 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,762 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 17031140601 sits in the Mayfair area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. It is home to 2,762 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units806
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$81,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9646, -87.7259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,272 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2005)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.6%Food insecurity
- 19.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 19.3%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 99 evictions over 15 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,272 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Chicago commands. It sits 0.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 1.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031140601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031140601?
Census tract 17031140601 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031140601?
Median gross rent is $1,272/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031140601?
11.7% of residents in tract 17031140601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,762.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031140601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 74th, minority 80th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 17031140601 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031140601 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031140601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031140601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031140601 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031140601 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031140601 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031140601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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