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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,150 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Evanston

Tract 17031809402 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,713 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 17031809402 sits in the Downtown neighborhood of Evanston, Illinois. It has a population of 2,713 and an eviction-risk score of 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). 55% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 49% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,548/month against a median household income of $60,000 — roughly 51% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
7.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 33% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share73.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate38.7%
Median income$60,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 6 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 19 tracts In Evanston
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#12 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Evanston and the region

Centroid at 42.0490, -87.6820 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 7.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
38.7% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$2,548 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 809402Evanston: 5.95.9Evanstonparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031809402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809402?

Census tract 17031809402 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031809402?

Median gross rent is $2,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809402?

38.7% of residents in tract 17031809402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,713.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 2th, minority 59th, housing 89th.

Q5

Is tract 17031809402 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809402 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 17031809402 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 17031809402 compare to Evanston overall?

Tract 17031809402 scores 7.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Evanston at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 17031809402 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Evanston

Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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