Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.3% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $722, 15% below the Decatur average. On the high side, economic stress reads 7/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $48,276, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.