Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17115002002 · Macon County, IL · pop 2,334

Here is how census tract 17115002002, in Decatur eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,334. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 15% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $722 monthly, set against $48,276 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 31% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units994

Renter share36.1%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate28.2%

Median income$48,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8621, -88.9577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

28.2% poverty · this tract

7.0

Supply constraint

$722 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
17%Grade B
73%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.7%Housing insecurity
17.5%Utility-shutoff threat
31.3%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
37.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Macon County average of 5.2 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115002002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002002?

Census tract 17115002002 in Decatur scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115002002?

Median gross rent is $722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002002?

28.2% of residents in tract 17115002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,334.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 89th, minority 69th, housing 83th.

What share of households in tract 17115002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115002002 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115002002 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115002002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.