Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Food insecurity runs 51.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 61.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

At $747 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Decatur commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 30% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.