Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 31.6% against 15.2% nationally.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Against the Macon County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $756 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Decatur commands.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

roughly one in three of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.