Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115002906 · Macon County, IL · pop 2,504 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Decatur

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 17115002906 in Decatur ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,504 residents. On the national scale it ranks #29,432 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $756 monthly, set against $31,735 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 50% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,518

Renter share77.7%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate32.8%

Median income$31,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8847, -88.9320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

32.8% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$756 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
28.3%Food insecurity
31.6%SNAP enrollment
14.4%Transit barriers
10.6%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
37.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Macon County average of 5.2 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115002906

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002906?

Census tract 17115002906 in Decatur scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115002906?

Median gross rent is $756/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002906?

32.8% of residents in tract 17115002906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,504.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 65th, minority 64th, housing 95th.

What share of households in tract 17115002906 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115002906 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115002906 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.