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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

H &K Trailer Court Eviction Risk: Elevated , Decatur

Tract 17115000502 · Macon County, IL · pop 2,354 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

17115000502 is a census tract in the H &K Trailer Court area of Decatur, IL. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,354 residents. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Macon County average of 34.1%.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 36% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share68.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$41,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In H &K Trailer Court
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 30 tracts In Decatur
Very High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 37 tracts In Macon County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8420, -88.9653 · click any tract to drill in

Why H &K Trailer Court scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$753 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Decatur
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Decatur
6.2

How H &K Trailer Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
H &K Trailer Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0005024.6Decaturparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within H &K Trailer Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in H &K Trailer Court

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.

Against the Macon County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $753 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Decatur commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115000502?

Census tract 17115000502 in the H &K Trailer Court neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17115000502?

Median gross rent is $753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115000502?

34.5% of residents in tract 17115000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,354.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 4th, minority 54th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 17115000502 considered part of H &K Trailer Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17115000502 fall within H &K Trailer Court (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17115000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17115000502 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115000502 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17115000502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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