Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115000200 · Macon County, IL · pop 2,595

With a score of 6/10, tract 17115000200 in Decatur, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,595 residents. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 40% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units833

Renter share55.8%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate26.6%

Median income$47,879

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8433, -88.9349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

26.6% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$926 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
32%Grade B
49%Grade C
18%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.1%Housing insecurity
19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
35.9%Food insecurity
39.2%SNAP enrollment
17.5%Transit barriers
14.2%No health insurance
22.7%Frequent mental distress
40.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 27.1% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Macon County average of 34.1%. At $926 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Decatur commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115000200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115000200?

Census tract 17115000200 in Decatur scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115000200?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115000200?

26.6% of residents in tract 17115000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,595.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 53th, minority 61th, housing 62th.

What share of households in tract 17115000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115000200 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115000200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.