Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

H &K Trailer Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Decatur

Tract 17115000501 · Macon County, IL · pop 691 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17115000501 (the H &K Trailer Court area of Decatur, Illinois) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $532 a month against an average household income of $25,417 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 57% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units486

Renter share82.9%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate47.2%

Median income$25,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8349, -88.9590 · click any tract to drill in

Why H &K Trailer Court scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

47.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$532 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How H &K Trailer Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

4%Grade A
3%Grade B
15%Grade C
23%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within H &K Trailer Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.5%Housing insecurity
20.8%Utility-shutoff threat
36.8%Food insecurity
43.7%SNAP enrollment
17.8%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
42.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in H &K Trailer Court

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Macon County average of 5.2 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 23% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115000501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115000501?

Census tract 17115000501 in the H &K Trailer Court neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115000501?

Median gross rent is $532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115000501?

47.2% of residents in tract 17115000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 691.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 27th, minority 78th, housing 63th.

Is tract 17115000501 considered part of H &K Trailer Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17115000501 fall within H &K Trailer Court (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17115000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115000501 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115000501 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115000501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.