Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

SNAP participation runs 57.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against Macon County at 34.1%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.5% against 31.5% nationally. At $647 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Decatur commands.

Against the Macon County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.