Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115001000 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,116 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Decatur

17115001000 is a census tract in Decatur, IL. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 20% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units589

Renter share28.4%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate27.6%

Median income$53,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8615, -88.9080 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

27.6% poverty · this tract

6.9

Supply constraint

$735 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
12%Grade C
25%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.7%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
26.7%Food insecurity
29.4%SNAP enrollment
13.0%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
21.0%Frequent mental distress
38.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation runs 29.4% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Against the Macon County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally. At $735 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Decatur commands.

On the high side, economic stress reads 6.9/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Against average income of $53,125, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115001000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115001000?

Census tract 17115001000 in Decatur scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115001000?

Median gross rent is $735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115001000?

27.6% of residents in tract 17115001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,116.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 33th, minority 51th, housing 51th.

What share of households in tract 17115001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115001000 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115001000 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 25% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.