Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115002100 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,192 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Decatur

With a score of 6/10, tract 17115002100 in Decatur, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units661
Renter share49.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate47.6%
Median income$32,522

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 30 tracts In Decatur
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 37 tracts In Macon County
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8714, -88.9142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
47.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$906 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Decatur
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Decatur
6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decatur risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0021004.6Decaturparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Macon County average of 34.1%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 36.2% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $32,522, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002100?

Census tract 17115002100 in Decatur scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17115002100?

Median gross rent is $906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002100?

47.6% of residents in tract 17115002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,192.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 56th, minority 52th, housing 62th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17115002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17115002100 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115002100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17115002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related