Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 17115002100 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,192 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Decatur
With a score of 6/10, tract 17115002100 in Decatur, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Decatur and the region
Centroid at 39.8714, -88.9142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Decatur scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Decatur compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.5%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.2%Food insecurity
- 44.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Decatur
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Macon County average of 34.1%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 36.2% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $32,522, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 17115002100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002100?
What is the average rent in tract 17115002100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002100?
What share of households in tract 17115002100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17115002100 compare to Decatur overall?
Was tract 17115002100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Decatur
Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.