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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

H &K Trailer Court Eviction Risk: Elevated , Decatur

Tract 17115000400 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,187 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 17115000400 in the H &K Trailer Court area of Decatur, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,187 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Macon County average of 34.1%.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 11% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units426
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate40.9%
Median income$40,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In H &K Trailer Court
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 30 tracts In Decatur
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 37 tracts In Macon County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8343, -88.9685 · click any tract to drill in

Why H &K Trailer Court scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
40.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Decatur
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Decatur
6.2

How H &K Trailer Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
H &K Trailer Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0004004.6Decaturparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within H &K Trailer Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in H &K Trailer Court

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 43.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7. Housing insecurity runs 25.9% against 14.2% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Average gross rent is $790, close to the Decatur average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $40,658.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115000400?

Census tract 17115000400 in the H &K Trailer Court neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17115000400?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115000400?

40.9% of residents in tract 17115000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 43th, minority 75th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 17115000400 considered part of H &K Trailer Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17115000400 fall within H &K Trailer Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17115000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17115000400 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115000400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17115000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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