Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881402 · Will County, IL · pop 3,529 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17197881402 covers part of the Raynor Park area of Joliet, IL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,529 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,349

Renter share14.5%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate12.5%

Median income$80,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5473, -88.1080 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

12.5% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,423 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
51%Grade B
49%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.1%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
16.0%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10.

At $1,423 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Joliet commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $80,417.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881402?

Census tract 17197881402 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881402?

Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881402?

12.5% of residents in tract 17197881402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,529.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 50th, minority 74th, housing 11th.

Is tract 17197881402 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881402 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881402 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881402 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881402 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.