Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

River Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mishawaka

Tract 18141010600 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

18141010600 is a census tract in the River Park area of Mishawaka, IN. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,989 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 16% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,583
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$53,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In River Park
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 15 tracts In Mishawaka
Moderate
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#509 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mishawaka and the region

Centroid at 41.6722, -86.1887 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Park scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mishawaka
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,018 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mishawaka
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mishawaka
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mishawaka
6.8

How River Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0106004.2Mishawakaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 55Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2015)
  • 55Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 226Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Park

Cost burden runs 62% here against 41.2% across St. Joseph County. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10. Court records carry 55 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.6 points above the St. Joseph County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.7% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,018, close to the Mishawaka average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141010600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141010600?

Census tract 18141010600 in the River Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141010600?

Median gross rent is $1,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141010600?

12.8% of residents in tract 18141010600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141010600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 16th, minority 25th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 18141010600 considered part of River Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141010600 fall within River Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141010600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141010600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.65% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141010600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141010600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141010600 compare to Mishawaka overall?

Tract 18141010600 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Mishawaka at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mishawaka eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141010600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mishawaka

Top eight tracts in Mishawaka ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related