Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21049020201 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,337 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
21049020201 is a census tract in Winchester, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,337 residents. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,725
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$40,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 38.0238, -84.1863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.4/10. Against Clark County at 36.2%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Clark County average of 3.9.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $809, 12% below the Winchester average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $40,398.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020201?
Census tract 21049020201 in Winchester scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020201?
Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020201?
33.7% of residents in tract 21049020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,337.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 71th, minority 47th, housing 37th.
Q5
How does tract 21049020201 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020201 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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