Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21049020106 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,391 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
Census tract 21049020106 covers part of Winchester, KY, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,391 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Clark County average of 36.2%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,360
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$48,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 37.9662, -84.1529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Against the Clark County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $905, close to the Winchester average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $48,875. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020106?
Census tract 21049020106 in Winchester scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020106?
Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020106?
16.2% of residents in tract 21049020106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,391.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 56th, minority 37th, housing 35th.
Q5
How does tract 21049020106 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020106 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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