Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,480 of 84,120 nationally
East Somerville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017350107 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,085 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25017350107 runs through East Somerville in Somerville. With 1,085 residents, it scores 6.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #18,740 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,910 monthly, set against $121,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units418
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$121,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3893, -71.0833 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Somerville scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,910 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How East Somerville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Somerville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 14.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Somerville
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Somerville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 32% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350107?
Census tract 25017350107 in the East Somerville neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350107?
Median gross rent is $2,910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350107?
7.8% of residents in tract 25017350107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,085.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 4th, minority 52th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350107 considered part of East Somerville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350107 fall within East Somerville (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350107 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017350107 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017350107 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350107 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017350107 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
West Somerville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Somerville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Ten Hills
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Ten Hills
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Related