Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
East Somerville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25017350107 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,085 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
25017350107 is a census tract in the East Somerville area of Somerville, MA. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,085 residents. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units418
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$121,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3893, -71.0833 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Somerville scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,910 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How East Somerville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Somerville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 14.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Somerville
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
At $2,910 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Somerville commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350107?
Census tract 25017350107 in the East Somerville neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350107?
Median gross rent is $2,910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350107?
7.8% of residents in tract 25017350107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,085.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 4th, minority 52th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350107 considered part of East Somerville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350107 fall within East Somerville (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350107 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017350107 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017350107 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350107 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017350107 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related