Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
East Somerville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017351403 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,906 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up East Somerville in Somerville, census tract 25017351403 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,246 monthly, set against $111,934 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,734
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$111,934
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3863, -71.0843 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Somerville scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$2,246 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How East Somerville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 82Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Somerville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Somerville
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Somerville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017351403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351403?
Census tract 25017351403 in the East Somerville neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017351403?
Median gross rent is $2,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351403?
18.0% of residents in tract 25017351403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,906.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 42th, minority 58th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25017351403 considered part of East Somerville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351403 fall within East Somerville (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017351403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017351403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.63% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017351403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017351403 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017351403 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017351403 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017351403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Somerville
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Teele Square
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Teele Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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