Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
East Somerville Eviction Risk: High
Tract 25017351404 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,633 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 25017351404 covers part of the East Somerville area of Somerville, MA, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,633. It sits 2.2 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$99,519
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3838, -71.0876 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Somerville scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,234 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How East Somerville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 91%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2014)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 82% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Somerville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Somerville
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.
Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 78 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $2,234 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Somerville commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cambridge. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017351404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351404?
Census tract 25017351404 in the East Somerville neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017351404?
Median gross rent is $2,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351404?
10.0% of residents in tract 25017351404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,633.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 19th, minority 63th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 25017351404 considered part of East Somerville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351404 fall within East Somerville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017351404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017351404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.51% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017351404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017351404 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017351404 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017351404 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017351404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
7.9
/ 10 · High
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