Central Business District Eviction Risk: High

This is a renter market: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average household income of $52,782 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 34%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

SNAP participation is 29.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 98 eviction filings.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 8.3% of renter households.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. At $1,591 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Worcester commands. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Worcester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 3.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.