Green Island Eviction Risk: High

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Set annual rent against average household income of $42,534 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 30.5% of adults, 12.7 points above the national rate.

The filing record is not thin: 36 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 5.5% of renter households.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. Average gross rent is $1,349, 9% below the Worcester average of $1,487. That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Worcester.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.