Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
4 census tracts · pop 18,957 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10
· range 5.2–8
Providence Street Historic District takes in 4 census tracts of Worcester, MA and houses 18,957 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 5.2 to 8. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. This is a renter market: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against a Worcester baseline of 32.0%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 29.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
Court records carry 318 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. At $1,301 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Worcester commands. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 7.1% of renter households.
Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7/10.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Providence Street Historic District vs WorcesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Providence Street Historic District
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
318Total filings (sum)
6.74%Avg annual filing rate
7.1%Peak year (2015)
6.74%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Providence Street Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.2%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
31.6%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
34.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Providence Street Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Providence Street Historic District?
Providence Street Historic District scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Providence Street Historic District compare to Worcester overall?
Providence Street Historic District scores 1.0 points higher than Worcester overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,301 vs $1,487.
Q3
What is the average rent in Providence Street Historic District?
Average gross rent in Providence Street Historic District is $1,301/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Providence Street Historic District residents are renters?
66% of Providence Street Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Worcester). The neighborhood has 18,957 residents.
Q5
Is Providence Street Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Providence Street Historic District sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Providence Street Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Providence Street Historic District is census tract 25027732400 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 8, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Providence Street Historic District for landlords?
Providence Street Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Worcester as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Providence Street Historic District?
Providence Street Historic District has 19,250 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.4%), Hispanic / Latino (32.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near Providence Street Historic District
