Neighborhood · Worcester, MA

Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 18,957 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 3.1–6.2

Providence Street Historic District is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Worcester with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,957 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,301/month sits 13% lower than the Worcester citywide average ($1,487).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Providence Street Historic District vs Worcester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.0% +25%

Worcester: 32.0%

Average gross rent

$1,301 -13%

Worcester: $1,487

Average HH income

$52,835 -22%

Worcester: $67,544

Poverty rate

17.7% -11%

Worcester: 19.8%

Renter share

65.9% +15%

Worcester: 57.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence Street Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.1–6.2

Why Providence Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

66% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Economic stress

17.7% below poverty line · Range 3.0–5.9 across tracts

4.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–5.0 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Providence Street Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Providence Street Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.1 points from 3.1 to 6.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.2 5.7 5.3 3.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Providence Street Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25027732600	6.2	4,541	50%	$1,330
25027732400	5.7	7,899	44%	$1,631
25027732700	5.3	3,884	46%	$1,477
25027732902	3.1	2,633	—	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 82%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 69%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Providence Street Historic District

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

318Total filings (sum)
6.74%Avg annual filing rate
7.1%Peak year (2015)
6.74%Latest filed (2015)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Providence Street Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

22.2%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
31.6%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
34.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Providence Street Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence Street Historic District?

Providence Street Historic District scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Providence Street Historic District compare to Worcester overall?

Providence Street Historic District scores 1.0 points lower than Worcester overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,301 vs $1,487.

What is the average rent in Providence Street Historic District?

Average gross rent in Providence Street Historic District is $1,301/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Providence Street Historic District residents are renters?

66% of Providence Street Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Worcester). The neighborhood has 18,957 residents.

Is Providence Street Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence Street Historic District sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Providence Street Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Providence Street Historic District is census tract 25027732600 (score 6.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 6.2, a spread of 3.1 points.

How safe is Providence Street Historic District for landlords?

Providence Street Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Worcester as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence Street Historic District?

Providence Street Historic District has 19,250 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.4%), Hispanic / Latino (32.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence Street Historic District

6.5 Main South 2 tracts · pop 9,006 5.1 Piedmont 2 tracts · pop 8,169 5.8 Fay Street Historic District 2 tracts · pop 6,030 5.2 Beaver Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 10,833 4.7 Redwood Hills 3 tracts · pop 15,225 5.1 Webster Square 4 tracts · pop 14,212

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Worcester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence Street Historic District.

5.4 Webster Square 4 tracts · pop 14,212 5.4 Piedmont 2 tracts · pop 8,169 5.5 Morningdale 2 tracts · pop 10,741 5.7 Fay Street Historic District 2 tracts · pop 6,030 5.1 Rice Square 1 tracts · pop 4,352 6 Beaver Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 10,833

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