2 census tracts · pop 7,592 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10
· range 8–8
Elm Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Worcester, MA and houses 7,592 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 8/10, in the High tier. The severe-burden share is 47%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 57% against 32.0% citywide, putting Elm Park 25.4% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $34,545 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 51%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.5/10.
92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. SNAP participation is 37.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 30.6% of adults, 12.8 points above the national rate. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Worcester. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
Average gross rent runs $1,451, close to the Worcester average.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Elm Park vs WorcesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elm Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.5%Housing insecurity
15.3%Utility shutoff threat
29.4%Food insecurity
35.7%SNAP enrollment
8.2%No health insurance
36.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Elm Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elm Park?
Elm Park scores 8/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elm Park compare to Worcester overall?
Elm Park scores 1.4 points higher than Worcester overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,451 vs $1,487.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elm Park?
Average gross rent in Elm Park is $1,451/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elm Park residents are renters?
92% of Elm Park households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Worcester). The neighborhood has 7,592 residents.
Q5
Is Elm Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Elm Park sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elm Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elm Park is census tract 25027731601 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Elm Park for landlords?
Elm Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Worcester as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elm Park?
Elm Park has 7,242 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
