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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milford

Tract 25027730402 · Worcester County, MA · pop 2,058 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25027730402 (the Lincoln Square area of Milford, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,441 a month against an average household income of $71,607 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 21% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units666
Renter share61.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$71,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Lincoln Square
Elevated
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 46 tracts In Milford
Low
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#425 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milford and the region

Centroid at 42.2869, -71.7912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,441 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
7.0

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 730402Milford: 6.06.0Milfordparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2015)
  • 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730402?

Census tract 25027730402 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730402?

Median gross rent is $1,441/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730402?

10.9% of residents in tract 25027730402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,058.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 83th, minority 68th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 25027730402 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027730402 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.97% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027730402 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027730402 compare to Milford overall?

Tract 25027730402 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Milford at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milford

Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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