Neighborhood · Ann Arbor, MI

Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 14,729 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 7.2–7.2

Old Fourth Ward takes in 4 census tracts of Ann Arbor, MI, population 14,729. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 58%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 78% against 37.4% citywide, putting Old Fourth Ward 40.9% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $33,172 and the ratio lands at 52%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 61%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.1/10.

SNAP participation is 29.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filings are well documented here: 28 across 2 observed tracts. Food insecurity affects 28.7% of adults, 10.9 points above the national rate.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,442, 13% below the Ann Arbor average of $1,649.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 2.2% of renter households. That places it #1 of 13 neighborhoods in Ann Arbor.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

4 tracts · population-weighted

Old Fourth Ward vs Ann Arbor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

78.3% +109%

Ann Arbor: 37.4%

Average gross rent

$1,442 -13%

Ann Arbor: $1,649

Average HH income

$33,172 -59%

Ann Arbor: $81,089

Poverty rate

61.2% +167%

Ann Arbor: 23.0%

Renter share

92.7% +70%

Ann Arbor: 54.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Fourth Ward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 7.2–7.2

Why Old Fourth Ward scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

78% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

93% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

61.2% below poverty line · Range 5.4–10.0 across tracts

9.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–5.0 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Old Fourth Ward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Old Fourth Ward?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0 points from 7.2 to 7.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Old Fourth Ward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
26161402201	7.2	4,741	80%	$1,285
26161400800	7.2	3,665	73%	$1,612
26161980102	7.2	3,428	100%	$1,337
26161402100	7.2	2,895	56%	$1,609

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 1%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 75%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Fourth Ward

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

28Total filings (sum)
1.18%Avg annual filing rate
2.2%Peak year (2014)
1.18%Latest filed (2014)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Fourth Ward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.9%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility shutoff threat
29.4%Food insecurity
29.6%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
33.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Old Fourth Ward

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Fourth Ward?

Old Fourth Ward scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Old Fourth Ward compare to Ann Arbor overall?

Old Fourth Ward scores 1.4 points higher than Ann Arbor overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 78% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,442 vs $1,649.

What is the average rent in Old Fourth Ward?

Average gross rent in Old Fourth Ward is $1,442/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Old Fourth Ward residents are renters?

93% of Old Fourth Ward households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Ann Arbor). The neighborhood has 14,729 residents.

Is Old Fourth Ward a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Fourth Ward sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Old Fourth Ward have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Fourth Ward is census tract 26161402201 (score 7.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 7.2, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Old Fourth Ward for landlords?

Old Fourth Ward carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ann Arbor as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Fourth Ward?

Old Fourth Ward has 14,735 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.1%), Hispanic / Latino (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Fourth Ward

6.8 Germantown 3 tracts · pop 16,696 7.2 Kerrytown 2 tracts · pop 5,085 4.7 Wildwood 3 tracts · pop 8,936 5.1 Burns Park 3 tracts · pop 13,410 4.4 Dicken 3 tracts · pop 8,175 5.3 Cranbrook 3 tracts · pop 9,246

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ann Arbor

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Fourth Ward.

7.2 Uplands of Scio Ridge 1 tracts · pop 1,950 7.2 Kerrytown 2 tracts · pop 5,085 7.2 North Burns Park 1 tracts · pop 5,652 6.9 Germantown 3 tracts · pop 16,696 6.7 Colonial Square Cooperative 4 tracts · pop 11,341 5.5 Lower Burns Park 1 tracts · pop 5,355

Zoom out