Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ann Arbor
Tract 26161402100 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 2,895 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 26161402100 covers Old Fourth Ward in Ann Arbor, home to 2,895 residents. For landlords it grades 6.6/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,609 a month against an average household income of $67,619 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$67,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region
Centroid at 42.2936, -83.7377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Fourth Ward scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0
How Old Fourth Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 24Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2014)
- 24Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 18.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washtenaw County average of 6.0 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 24 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.2% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 26161402100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161402100?
Census tract 26161402100 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26161402100?
Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26161402100?
21.6% of residents in tract 26161402100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26161402100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 6th, minority 60th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 26161402100 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161402100 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 26161402100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 26161402100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 26161402100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 26161402100 compare to Ann Arbor overall?
Tract 26161402100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor
Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
North Burns Park
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Colonial Square Cooperative
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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