Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor

Tract 26161980102 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 3,428 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 26161980102, in Old Fourth Ward in Ann Arbor eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,428. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 97% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,337 monthly, set against $13,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 117% of income at the averages. Renters make up 98% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 98% Stable renters 0% Owners 2%

Tract context

Occupied units179

Renter share97.8%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate91.6%

Median income$13,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region

Centroid at 42.2819, -83.7292 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Fourth Ward scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ann Arbor

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

91.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,337 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ann Arbor

3.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ann Arbor

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ann Arbor

5.0

How Old Fourth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
22.0%Utility-shutoff threat
43.9%Food insecurity
49.2%SNAP enrollment
30.4%Transit barriers
10.3%No health insurance
35.3%Frequent mental distress
45.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washtenaw County average of 6.0 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26161980102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161980102?

Census tract 26161980102 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26161980102?

Median gross rent is $1,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26161980102?

91.6% of residents in tract 26161980102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,428.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26161980102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 0th, minority 51th, housing 37th.

Is tract 26161980102 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161980102 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26161980102 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26161980102 compare to Ann Arbor overall?

Tract 26161980102 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor

Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.