Fitzgerald/Marygrove Eviction Risk: Moderate

50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Detroit rate of 35.9%. The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.3/10.

21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence reaches 49.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. That places it #72 of 130 neighborhoods in Detroit.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,014, close to the Detroit average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.