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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Knolls Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060840 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,523 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 27037060840 covers part of the Cedar Knolls area of Apple Valley, MN, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,523. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$135,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Cedar Knolls
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#1,082 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7659, -93.1721 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Knolls scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Cedar Knolls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cedar Knolls risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0608404.3Apple Valleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cedar Knolls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Knolls

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Dakota County average of 45.6%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Dakota County average of 4.2. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060840

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060840?

Census tract 27037060840 in the Cedar Knolls neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060840?

0.8% of residents in tract 27037060840 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,523.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060840?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 16th, minority 20th, housing 7th.
Q4

Is tract 27037060840 considered part of Cedar Knolls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060840 fall within Cedar Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 27037060840 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27037060840 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060840 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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