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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Scott Highlands Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060823 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,454 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In Scott Highlands in Apple Valley, census tract 27037060823 scores 5.8/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,833 monthly, set against $123,781 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 9% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,637
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$123,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Scott Highlands
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#1,342 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7446, -93.1972 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scott Highlands scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,833 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Scott Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scott Highlands risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 060823Apple Valley: 4.94.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak (2012)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608232009: 3 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (6.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scott Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scott Highlands

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060823

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060823?

Census tract 27037060823 in the Scott Highlands neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060823?

Median gross rent is $1,833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060823?

2.8% of residents in tract 27037060823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,454.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060823?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 80th, minority 34th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060823 considered part of Scott Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060823 fall within Scott Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060823?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060823 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060823 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060823 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060823 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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