Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Bancroft Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053110100 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,785 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 27053110100 in the Bancroft area of Minneapolis, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,785. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$98,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9302, -93.2483 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bancroft scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,272 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Bancroft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 2%Grade A
- 98%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2012)
- 11Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bancroft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bancroft
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 37% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County.
Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Against average income of $98,804, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053110100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053110100?
Census tract 27053110100 in the Bancroft neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053110100?
Median gross rent is $1,272/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053110100?
5.8% of residents in tract 27053110100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,785.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053110100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 8th, minority 50th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 27053110100 considered part of Bancroft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053110100 fall within Bancroft (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053110100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053110100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.03% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053110100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053110100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053110100 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053110100 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053110100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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