Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Ferguson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189212500 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,364 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Ferguson
In Ferguson, census tract 29189212500 scores 6.9/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #5,840 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,041 a month while the average household earns $54,135 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,948
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$54,135
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ferguson and the region
Centroid at 38.7431, -90.2876 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ferguson scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,041 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferguson
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferguson
8.6
How Ferguson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 981Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.2%Peak (2017)
- 170Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 63% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 780Total filings 2020-21
- 10.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 20.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.9%Food insecurity
- 27.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 42.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ferguson
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189212500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212500?
Census tract 29189212500 in Ferguson scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189212500?
Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212500?
20.0% of residents in tract 29189212500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,364.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 34th, minority 88th, housing 51th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189212500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 981 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189212500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.84% of renter households, peaking at 14.2% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189212500 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189212500 compare to Ferguson overall?
Tract 29189212500 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Ferguson at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189212500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ferguson
Top eight tracts in Ferguson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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