Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Northwest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011000203 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,393 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 33011000203 in the Northwest area of Manchester, NH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,393. Cost burden runs 64% here against 45.2% across Hillsborough County.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 25% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,876

Renter share69.5%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$70,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0264, -71.4843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northwest scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,877 rent vs county FMR

7.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Northwest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northwest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northwest

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $70,114 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,877 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Manchester commands. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.0.

Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000203?

Census tract 33011000203 in the Northwest neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011000203?

Median gross rent is $1,877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000203?

7.6% of residents in tract 33011000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,393.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 51th, minority 28th, housing 38th.

Is tract 33011000203 considered part of Northwest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000203 fall within Northwest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011000203 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011000203 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000203 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011000203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.