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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Northwest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011000204 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 5,693 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 33011000204 sits in the Northwest area of Manchester eviction risk, NH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 5,693 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 35% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,896
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$78,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Northwest
Very Low
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 30 tracts In Manchester
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#31 of 103 tracts In Hillsborough County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0220, -71.4926 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northwest scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
3.5

How Northwest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northwest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0002044.0Manchesterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northwest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northwest

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,659, close to the Manchester average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $78,804.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000204?

Census tract 33011000204 in the Northwest neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33011000204?

Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000204?

5.6% of residents in tract 33011000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,693.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 22th, minority 39th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 33011000204 considered part of Northwest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000204 fall within Northwest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33011000204 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33011000204 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000204 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 33011000204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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