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Neighborhood · Toms River, NJ

Dover Shores Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,520 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Dover Shores maps to a single census tract in Toms River, NJ and houses 3,520 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 50%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Toms River baseline of 29.1%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,162, 25% above the Toms River average of $1,731.

The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 4.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2017 at 11.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.1% in 2018 against a 11.2% peak.

That places it #8 of 17 neighborhoods in Toms River. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $94,231.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Dover Shores vs Toms River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.3% +93%
Toms River: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$2,162 +25%
Toms River: $1,731
Average HH income
$94,231 -2%
Toms River: $95,759
Poverty rate
2.0% -68%
Toms River: 6.3%
Renter share
8.2% -55%
Toms River: 18.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Dover Shores scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Dover Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dover Shores score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dover Shores: 3.83.8Dover ShoresNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Dover Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34029723400 3.8 3,520 56% $2,162
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dover Shores

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings (sum)
  • 8.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.2%Peak year (2017)
  • 7.06%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dover Shores

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dover Shores

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dover Shores?

Dover Shores scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dover Shores compare to Toms River overall?

Dover Shores scores 0.8 points lower than Toms River overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,162 vs $1,731.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dover Shores?

Average gross rent in Dover Shores is $2,162/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dover Shores residents are renters?

8% of Dover Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Toms River). The neighborhood has 3,520 residents.
Q5

Is Dover Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Dover Shores sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Dover Shores for landlords?

Dover Shores carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toms River as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Dover Shores?

Dover Shores has 3,463 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.8%), Hispanic / Latino (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dover Shores

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toms River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dover Shores.

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